For those understudies familiar with Joe D’s Survival Football Manifesto, you already know the methods for how Week 1 should be approached. For those unfamiliar, click here. With the already-established rules in mind related to focusing on home teams only for the first week of games, here’s a ranking on how “safe” or “risky” you can consider the first week of the 2016 NFL schedule to be. The safest of picks are listed from the top down.
Considerations: No. 1 is to go with a home team, preferably one that’s expected to be elite that’s not facing a divisional foe. Seattle is extra enticing coming off it’s rough playoff showing last year. Arizona and Kansas City are also enticing, but the level of competition could be more of a concern. Houston and Indy are interesting because of high expectations that seem warranted, but Week 1 is a prove-it week for both squads. There’s risk with that. The Ravens are about as sneaky as a pick you want to go. They get their quarterback, um, back, but the Bills aren’t pushovers – most likely. You dip below the Raven line on this list and you’re tempting the Gods of Fate.